Monday, January 10, 2011

Day 5

This will have to be short because apparently, bed rest really means lying horizontally. So I'm craning my neck and typing this on my iPad.

Am I killing you with the suspense yet?

(Adam got me the iPad for Christmas; isn't he sweet?)

Ok, ok.

It's great news! We transferred two good-looking blastocysts. I'll write about the procedure itself tomorrow because it was pretty cool. But the important thing is that all six embryos were still growing. Three were blastocysts, two were early blastocysts, and one was a Morula, which is a stage just prior to blastocyst. We didn't get grades for them, but we obviously transferred the two best ones, according to the embryologist's judgment. Wer're hoping to freeze at least one more, but it is up to the embryologist to determine which are viable, and he'll do that this afternoon or tomorrow morning. I'm a little peeved that we don't get to be involved in that decision, but the clinic does it to prevent wasting everyone's time and resources with embryos that are highly unlikely to make it.

But we have our two chances. Everything is on track. Now we have a 70% chance of getting pregnant. Whew! All of this, just for 70%.

I'll write more tomorrow.

6 comments:

  1. Killing us with suspense? Yes, yes, yes!!!

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  2. If it makes you feel better, the chances that neither transfer will work are 0.3*0.3 = 9%. So really you have a 91% chance of getting pregnant when you look at the whole picture.

    Of course, it would obviously be better if you got pregnant the first time though, if only because it means fewer shots. Good luck!

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  3. My nurse said it's seventy percent with two transferred. But really, those statistics are pretty meaningless anyway.

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  4. So exciting! I wish you luck!

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  5. But if this try (the two you had transferred now) doesn't work, you get one more shot, yes? That's what I meant.

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  6. Brianna - Ahh! Sorry I misunderstood. But now we have at least 3 tries since we have two frozen embryos. So here is my reasoning:

    If we don't succeed the first time, that means that there is a higher likelihood of some problem that would interfere with each attempt. So your chances are lower each time you fail. Also, frozen embryos have a lower success rate (although it's very close at our clinic). So I'd say:

    0.3*0.4*0.35 = 0.042

    With conservative rounding, we have a 95% chance of success.

    But then you have to add in the fact that we might get frozen embryos from the second fresh attempt - let's say there's a 20% chance of success from that possibility:

    0.3*0.4*0.35*0.8 = 0.0336

    So we REALLY have a 96% chance of success. That sounds pretty good. :)

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